Modelo de producción avícola usando eventos discretos y ciclos de realimentación.

Abstract

This project consists of designing a logical and mathematical model that explains in an approximate way the production of incubating eggs in breeders of the Lohmann Brown breed based on the existing experimental information, whose final product is the simulation of diverse production scenarios, implemented in simulators academic. The main objective of the project is the construction of a model that predicts the production of eggs in broiler chickens by combining methodologies based on discrete event systems and feedback cycles (system dynamics), to generate a solution to the inconveniences of experiment with high numbers of breeders, have an estimate of production expenses and reduce the time required to know and analyze the expected results. Based on the analysis of the various factors that affect the production of eggs in breeders, a representation will be developed under System Dynamics methodology, which will explain and represent the dynamics of system of the production of eggs. From this representation it will arrive at a model based on discrete events, which allows it to forecast and study the results through the predictions obtained from the variations of the factors and the different production scenarios (type of production).