Análisis de la incidencia de la violencia estructural en los Índices de violencia activa en el departamento de Córdoba en el periodo 2004-2018.

Abstract

The objective of this Project is to analize the incidence of structural violence, consisting of the variables (monetary poverty, unemployment and Gini coefficient) in the rates of active violence measured by (homicide rate) in the department of Córdoba Colombia, in the 2004-2018 period. This study was developed based on a descriptive quantitative methodological design, using statistical techniques for the review of secondary sources in databases of the National Crime Observatory and National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE), to decide whether to accept or reject the hypothesis raised, the increase of 1% in average of the variables of structural violence cause that the levels of homicides in the department increase. For the benefit of the research, the previous tests were carried out taking into account an econometric model of ordinary least squares (MCO) of multiple regression, which was analyzed in the EVIEWS ten statistical package. Within the model, the joint significance tests that explain the relationship between independent variables to explain the dependent variable were taken into account. The found results show that the variables are significant in 95% confidence. In addition, the coefficient of determination takes a considerable value of 77%, evidencing the empirical links that exist between independent variables. Given the above, it is considered that active violence is being explained by the structural violence variables together. Using the Ceteris paribus principle and with respect to the average value of Active Violence of the department of Córdoba, the results for the last 15 years of 2004 until 2018 show that for each 1% increase in average of the variables of structural violence, they increase homicides in the department of Córdoba.